Seminaires

Tommaso Dorigo - "Fundamental Statistics for Discoveries in Fundamental Physics"

by Tommaso Dorigo (INFN-Padova)

Europe/Brussels
Marc de Hemptinne (chemin du Cyclotron, 2, Louvain-la-Neuve)

Marc de Hemptinne (chemin du Cyclotron, 2, Louvain-la-Neuve)

CYCL01
Description

The standard recipes followed by HEP and astro-HEP scientists to decide whether the data bear enough evidence to support a discovery claim for a new phenomenon, or how a confidence interval can be set on a measured parameter, are an important ingredient in today's research in fundamental physics. Understanding where those standards come from, and what is the rationale behind them, is a necessary step in order to look beneath the surface of published scientific results. This talk will discuss in particular a few notable topics: the "five-sigma" criterion, its history, and its merits and pitfalls; the classical limit-setting procedures and their arbitrariness; and the issues of the ubiquitous simple-versus-composite hypothesis test, where the related paradox by Jeffrey and Lindley remains an active topic for debate in the statisticians community.

[Organizers: Andrea Giammanco and Marco Drewes, CP3]